✨ Lesson 2: Modals of Deduction & Speculation (Past)
In our last lesson, we learned to make logical guesses about the present. Today, we will use a similar skill to make a past deduction1. We look at the evidence2 we have now and make a logical guess about what happened in the past to cause the present situation.
The Structure: Modal + have + Past Participle
To make a deduction about the past, we use a specific structure. The modal verb shows our certainty, and the "have + past participle" form pushes the action into the past.
~95% Sure (Strong Deduction): use must have + p.p.
Use this when you have strong evidence and you are making a logical conclusion about the past.
"The ground is wet this morning. It must have rained last night."
~50% Sure (Possibility): use might have / may have / could have + p.p.
Use these when a past event was possible, but you are not sure.
"Sothea is late for the meeting. She might have gotten stuck in traffic."
~5% Sure (Almost Impossible3): use can't have / couldn't have + p.p.
Use these when you are almost certain something did NOT happen.
"He looks happy and relaxed. He can't have failed his exam."
Important Note on Negatives
This is a very common point of confusion. To make a negative deduction about the past, we use 'can't have' or 'couldn't have'. We do NOT use 'mustn't have'.
Prohibition4 (Rule): "You mustn't smoke here."
Past Deduction (Impossibility): "She can't have known about the party; if she had, she would have come."
We use 'might not have' to say something possibly didn't happen: "He's not here yet. He might not have received my message."
🧠 Practice Quiz: What Happened?
Choose the best modal form to complete each sentence.
- I can't find my wallet anywhere! I _______ it at the restaurant.
Answer: must have left (This is the most logical conclusion.) - She didn't answer her phone when I called. She _______ busy.
Answer: might have been (This is one possibility.) - He passed the B2 exam with a perfect score. He _______ studied very hard.
Answer: must have - You say you saw him in Battambang this morning? Then you _______ seen him in Phnom Penh last night. It's too far to travel that fast.
Answer: can't have (It's logically impossible.) - A: "Why didn't Dara come to the party?" B: "I'm not sure. He _______ about it."
Answer: might have forgotten (This is a possible reason.)
📝 Homework: Past Detective
Look at the present evidence and write a sentence of deduction about the past using 'must have', 'might have', or 'can't have'.
- Evidence: The window is broken and a rock is on the floor inside.
(Example: Someone must have thrown a rock through the window.)
_________________________________________ - Evidence: Your friend looks very happy and excited today.
(Example: She might have received some good news.)
_________________________________________ - Evidence: The cake is all gone, but the plates are still on the table.
(Example: They can't have finished cleaning up yet.)
_________________________________________
Vocabulary Glossary
- Past Deduction: (Noun Phrase) - ការសន្និដ្ឋានអំពីអតីតកាល (kaa sân'nĭ'tʰaan âm'pi â'ti'tâ'kal) - A logical guess or conclusion about a past event based on present evidence. ↩
- Evidence: (Noun) - ភស្តុតាង (phós'dŏ'tang) - The available facts or information indicating whether a belief is true or valid. ↩
- Impossible: (Adjective) - ដែលមិនអាចទៅរួច (dael mĭn aach tov ruəch) - Not able to occur, exist, or be done. ↩
- Prohibition: (Noun) - បម្រាម (bâm'ram) - The action of forbidding something; a rule against something. ↩
- Speculate: (Verb) - ស្មាន (s'maan) - To form a theory or guess about a subject without firm evidence. ↩